Serie B 26/27 — Round 4 of 38
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | |
| 4 | 6.6% | |
| 5 | 6.5% | |
| 6 | 6.1% | |
| 7 | 5.9% | |
| 8 | 4.8% | |
| 9 | 4.7% | |
| 10 | 4.5% | |
| 11 | 4.3% | |
| 12 | 3.5% | |
| 13 | 2.9% | |
| 14 | 2.9% | |
| 15 | 2.6% | |
| 16 | 2.5% | |
| 17 | 2.5% | |
| 18 | 1.9% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | |
| 20 | 0.9% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24.8% | |
| 2 | 24.2% | |
| 3 | 16.0% | |
| 4 | 13.3% | |
| 5 | 13.2% | |
| 6 | 12.4% | |
| 7 | 11.9% | |
| 8 | 9.9% | |
| 9 | 9.8% | |
| 10 | 9.3% | |
| 11 | 9.1% | |
| 12 | 7.4% | |
| 13 | 6.4% | |
| 14 | 6.3% | |
| 15 | 5.8% | |
| 16 | 5.6% | |
| 17 | 5.6% | |
| 18 | 4.4% | |
| 19 | 2.3% | |
| 20 | 2.3% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41.8% | |
| 2 | 41.3% | |
| 3 | 38.6% | |
| 4 | 36.3% | |
| 5 | 35.9% | |
| 6 | 35.0% | |
| 7 | 34.9% | |
| 8 | 32.8% | |
| 9 | 32.3% | |
| 10 | 31.9% | |
| 11 | 30.9% | |
| 12 | 28.4% | |
| 13 | 26.6% | |
| 14 | 26.6% | |
| 15 | 25.6% | |
| 16 | 24.8% | |
| 17 | 24.4% | |
| 18 | 21.5% | |
| 19 | 15.2% | |
| 20 | 15.1% |
Chances of participation in the playout phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14.9% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | |
| 3 | 13.3% | |
| 4 | 12.5% | |
| 5 | 12.5% | |
| 6 | 12.2% | |
| 7 | 11.6% | |
| 8 | 11.6% | |
| 9 | 11.0% | |
| 10 | 9.9% | |
| 11 | 9.7% | |
| 12 | 9.5% | |
| 13 | 9.4% | |
| 14 | 8.3% | |
| 15 | 8.3% | |
| 16 | 7.8% | |
| 17 | 7.7% | |
| 18 | 6.7% | |
| 19 | 4.3% | |
| 20 | 4.3% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34.5% | |
| 2 | 33.6% | |
| 3 | 23.5% | |
| 4 | 19.9% | |
| 5 | 19.0% | |
| 6 | 18.6% | |
| 7 | 17.8% | |
| 8 | 17.4% | |
| 9 | 15.6% | |
| 10 | 13.6% | |
| 11 | 12.4% | |
| 12 | 11.7% | |
| 13 | 11.6% | |
| 14 | 9.7% | |
| 15 | 9.2% | |
| 16 | 8.7% | |
| 17 | 8.7% | |
| 18 | 6.8% | |
| 19 | 3.9% | |
| 20 | 3.8% |
Round 4 of 38
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Out | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1↑1 | 4 | 10 | 14% | 25% | 41% | 4% | 4% | |
2↓1 | 4 | 10 | 14% | 24% | 42% | 4% | 4% | |
3 | 4 | 8 | 8% | 16% | 39% | 7% | 7% | |
4↑1 | 4 | 7 | 7% | 13% | 36% | 8% | 9% | |
5↑6 | 4 | 7 | 6% | 12% | 35% | 8% | 10% | |
6 | 4 | 7 | 7% | 13% | 36% | 8% | 9% | |
7↓3 | 4 | 7 | 6% | 12% | 35% | 8% | 9% | |
8↑7 | 4 | 6 | 4% | 9% | 31% | 10% | 14% | |
9 | 4 | 6 | 5% | 10% | 33% | 10% | 12% | |
10↓3 | 4 | 6 | 5% | 10% | 32% | 9% | 12% | |
11↓3 | 4 | 6 | 5% | 9% | 32% | 10% | 12% | |
12 | 4 | 5 | 4% | 7% | 28% | 11% | 16% | |
13↑4 | 4 | 4 | 3% | 6% | 26% | 12% | 19% | |
14↓4 | 4 | 4 | 3% | 6% | 27% | 12% | 17% | |
15↑1 | 4 | 4 | 3% | 6% | 27% | 12% | 18% | |
16↓3 | 4 | 4 | 3% | 6% | 25% | 13% | 19% | |
17↓3 | 4 | 4 | 3% | 6% | 24% | 13% | 20% | |
18↑2 | 4 | 3 | 2% | 4% | 22% | 13% | 24% | |
19↓1 | 4 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 15% | 15% | 34% | |
20↓1 | 4 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 15% | 15% | 35% |
WinPromoPlayoffPlayoutReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Juve Stabia#17Winner: 2.5%Promotion: 5.6%Playoff: 24.4%Playout: 12.5%Relegation: 19.9%
6:30 PM
Cesena#9Winner: 4.7%Promotion: 9.8%Playoff: 32.8%Playout: 9.5%Relegation: 11.7%
5%
83%
Cremonese#16Winner: 2.5%Promotion: 5.6%Playoff: 24.8%Playout: 12.5%Relegation: 19.0%
1:00 PM
Virtus Entella#15Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 6.3%Playoff: 26.6%Playout: 11.6%Relegation: 17.8%
49%
25%
Carrarese#19Winner: 0.9%Promotion: 2.3%Playoff: 15.2%Playout: 14.9%Relegation: 33.6%
1:00 PM
Benevento#13Winner: 2.6%Promotion: 5.8%Playoff: 25.6%Playout: 12.2%Relegation: 18.6%
20%
53%
Palermo#2Winner: 13.7%Promotion: 24.2%Playoff: 41.8%Playout: 4.3%Relegation: 3.8%
1:00 PM
Padova#5Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 11.9%Playoff: 34.9%Playout: 8.3%Relegation: 9.7%
70%
10%
Hellas Verona#14Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 6.4%Playoff: 26.6%Playout: 11.6%Relegation: 17.4%
1:00 PM
Vicenza#12Winner: 3.5%Promotion: 7.4%Playoff: 28.4%Playout: 11.0%Relegation: 15.6%
89%
3%
Arezzo#8Winner: 4.3%Promotion: 9.1%Playoff: 30.9%Playout: 9.9%Relegation: 13.6%
1:00 PM
Sudtirol#3Winner: 8.2%Promotion: 16.0%Playoff: 38.6%Playout: 6.7%Relegation: 6.8%
0%
98%
After Round 4: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Juve Stabia's Releg probability dropped from 35% to 19.9% (-15.1%).
- ↓Hellas Verona's Playoff probability dropped from 40.3% to 26.6% (-13.7%).
- ↓Carrarese's Releg probability dropped from 46.4% to 33.6% (-12.8%).
- ↓Avellino's Promo probability dropped from 23.6% to 13.2% (-10.4%).
- ↓Vicenza's Playoff probability dropped from 36.9% to 28.4% (-8.5%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Serie B 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
Playout:
Serie B 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Serie B 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Mantova currently have the highest title probability at 14%. With 34 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 26/27?
- Sampdoria currently faces the highest relegation risk at 35%, followed by Carrarese at 34%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Serie B 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Serie B 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
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