Serie B 26/27 — Round 5 of 38
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18.2% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | |
| 3 | 11.8% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | |
| 5 | 8.7% | |
| 6 | 4.1% | |
| 7 | 3.9% | |
| 8 | 3.9% | |
| 9 | 3.8% | |
| 10 | 3.7% | |
| 11 | 3.7% | |
| 12 | 2.7% | |
| 13 | 2.7% | |
| 14 | 2.2% | |
| 15 | 2.1% | |
| 16 | 2.1% | |
| 17 | 2.0% | |
| 18 | 1.5% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0.5% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30.9% | |
| 2 | 22.6% | |
| 3 | 21.9% | |
| 4 | 17.6% | |
| 5 | 17.0% | |
| 6 | 8.9% | |
| 7 | 8.5% | |
| 8 | 8.5% | |
| 9 | 8.4% | |
| 10 | 8.2% | |
| 11 | 8.1% | |
| 12 | 6.2% | |
| 13 | 6.1% | |
| 14 | 5.2% | |
| 15 | 4.8% | |
| 16 | 4.7% | |
| 17 | 4.7% | |
| 18 | 3.6% | |
| 19 | 2.7% | |
| 20 | 1.4% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43.2% | |
| 2 | 42.3% | |
| 3 | 42.0% | |
| 4 | 40.8% | |
| 5 | 40.7% | |
| 6 | 32.6% | |
| 7 | 32.3% | |
| 8 | 32.2% | |
| 9 | 31.6% | |
| 10 | 31.3% | |
| 11 | 31.2% | |
| 12 | 27.5% | |
| 13 | 26.5% | |
| 14 | 25.5% | |
| 15 | 24.1% | |
| 16 | 23.8% | |
| 17 | 23.6% | |
| 18 | 20.1% | |
| 19 | 16.8% | |
| 20 | 11.6% |
Chances of participation in the playout phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15.2% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | |
| 3 | 14.0% | |
| 4 | 12.9% | |
| 5 | 12.8% | |
| 6 | 12.8% | |
| 7 | 12.3% | |
| 8 | 11.7% | |
| 9 | 11.6% | |
| 10 | 9.9% | |
| 11 | 9.9% | |
| 12 | 9.9% | |
| 13 | 9.7% | |
| 14 | 9.7% | |
| 15 | 9.4% | |
| 16 | 5.8% | |
| 17 | 5.7% | |
| 18 | 4.5% | |
| 19 | 4.5% | |
| 20 | 2.9% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40.8% | |
| 2 | 29.6% | |
| 3 | 24.9% | |
| 4 | 20.2% | |
| 5 | 19.7% | |
| 6 | 19.7% | |
| 7 | 18.5% | |
| 8 | 17.6% | |
| 9 | 15.9% | |
| 10 | 12.6% | |
| 11 | 12.4% | |
| 12 | 12.3% | |
| 13 | 12.0% | |
| 14 | 11.9% | |
| 15 | 11.5% | |
| 16 | 5.4% | |
| 17 | 5.3% | |
| 18 | 3.9% | |
| 19 | 3.9% | |
| 20 | 2.0% |
Round 5 of 38
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Out | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1↑1 | 5 | 13 | 18% | 31% | 43% | 3% | 2% | |
2↑1 | 5 | 11 | 12% | 23% | 42% | 5% | 4% | |
3↓2 | 5 | 11 | 12% | 22% | 42% | 5% | 4% | |
4↑2 | 5 | 10 | 9% | 18% | 41% | 6% | 5% | |
5↑2 | 5 | 10 | 9% | 17% | 41% | 6% | 5% | |
6↓1 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 8% | 31% | 10% | 13% | |
7↑6 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 8% | 32% | 10% | 12% | |
8↑6 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 9% | 33% | 9% | 12% | |
9↓5 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 9% | 32% | 10% | 12% | |
10↓1 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 9% | 32% | 10% | 12% | |
11↓1 | 5 | 7 | 4% | 8% | 31% | 10% | 12% | |
12↓4 | 5 | 6 | 3% | 6% | 27% | 12% | 18% | |
13↓2 | 5 | 6 | 3% | 6% | 28% | 12% | 16% | |
14↑1 | 5 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 26% | 12% | 19% | |
15↓3 | 5 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 24% | 13% | 20% | |
16 | 5 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 24% | 13% | 20% | |
17 | 5 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 24% | 13% | 20% | |
18↑2 | 5 | 4 | 2% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 25% | |
19↓1 | 5 | 3 | 1% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 30% | |
20↓1 | 5 | 1 | 1% | 1% | 12% | 15% | 41% |
WinPromoPlayoffPlayoutReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Avellino#9Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.5%Playoff: 32.2%Playout: 9.7%Relegation: 11.9%
5:00 PM
Sampdoria#18Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 3.6%Playoff: 20.1%Playout: 14.0%Relegation: 24.9%
7%
77%
Padova#6Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 8.1%Playoff: 31.2%Playout: 9.9%Relegation: 12.6%
5:00 PM
Carrarese#20Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.4%Playoff: 11.6%Playout: 15.2%Relegation: 40.8%
2%
90%
Virtus Entella#14Winner: 2.2%Promotion: 5.2%Playoff: 25.5%Playout: 12.3%Relegation: 18.5%
5:00 PM
Juve Stabia#17Winner: 2.0%Promotion: 4.7%Playoff: 23.6%Playout: 12.9%Relegation: 20.2%
8%
77%
Benevento#7Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 8.2%Playoff: 31.6%Playout: 9.9%Relegation: 12.4%
5:00 PM
Cesena#10Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.5%Playoff: 32.3%Playout: 9.7%Relegation: 12.0%
5%
83%
Empoli#13Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 6.2%Playoff: 27.5%Playout: 11.6%Relegation: 15.9%
5:00 PM
Palermo#1Winner: 18.2%Promotion: 30.9%Playoff: 43.2%Playout: 2.9%Relegation: 2.0%
64%
13%
Catanzaro#19Winner: 1.1%Promotion: 2.7%Playoff: 16.8%Playout: 14.8%Relegation: 29.6%
5:00 PM
Mantova#3Winner: 11.8%Promotion: 21.9%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.5%Relegation: 3.9%
43%
29%
Modena#4Winner: 9.0%Promotion: 17.6%Playoff: 40.7%Playout: 5.7%Relegation: 5.3%
5:00 PM
Hellas Verona#8Winner: 4.1%Promotion: 8.9%Playoff: 32.6%Playout: 9.4%Relegation: 11.5%
60%
16%
Sudtirol#2Winner: 12.3%Promotion: 22.6%Playoff: 42.0%Playout: 4.5%Relegation: 3.9%
5:00 PM
Ascoli#5Winner: 8.7%Promotion: 17.0%Playoff: 40.8%Playout: 5.8%Relegation: 5.4%
43%
28%
After Round 5: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Carrarese's Releg probability dropped from 59.3% to 40.8% (-18.5%).
- ↓Juve Stabia's Releg probability dropped from 35.7% to 20.2% (-15.5%).
- ↓Ascoli's Promo probability dropped from 31.3% to 17% (-14.3%).
- ↑Sudtirol's Promo probability climbed from 9.9% to 22.6% (+12.7%).
- ↓Vicenza's Playoff probability dropped from 36.5% to 23.8% (-12.7%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Serie B 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
Playout:
Serie B 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Serie B 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Palermo currently have the highest title probability at 18%. With 33 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 26/27?
- Carrarese currently faces the highest relegation risk at 41%, followed by Catanzaro at 30%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Serie B 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Serie B 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Past editions