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Serie B 26/27 — Round 5 of 38

Updated at

Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1Palermo logoPalermo#1Win: 18.2%Promo: 30.9%Playoff: 43.2%Playout: 2.9%Releg: 2.0%
18.2%
2Sudtirol logoSudtirol#2Win: 12.3%Promo: 22.6%Playoff: 42.0%Playout: 4.5%Releg: 3.9%
12.3%
3Mantova logoMantova#3Win: 11.8%Promo: 21.9%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.5%Releg: 3.9%
11.8%
4Modena logoModena#4Win: 9.0%Promo: 17.6%Playoff: 40.7%Playout: 5.7%Releg: 5.3%
9.0%
5Ascoli logoAscoli#5Win: 8.7%Promo: 17.0%Playoff: 40.8%Playout: 5.8%Releg: 5.4%
8.7%
6Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona#8Win: 4.1%Promo: 8.9%Playoff: 32.6%Playout: 9.4%Releg: 11.5%
4.1%
7Cesena logoCesena#10Win: 3.9%Promo: 8.5%Playoff: 32.3%Playout: 9.7%Releg: 12.0%
3.9%
8Pisa logoPisa#11Win: 3.9%Promo: 8.4%Playoff: 31.3%Playout: 9.9%Releg: 12.3%
3.9%
9Avellino logoAvellino#9Win: 3.8%Promo: 8.5%Playoff: 32.2%Playout: 9.7%Releg: 11.9%
3.8%
10Padova logoPadova#6Win: 3.7%Promo: 8.1%Playoff: 31.2%Playout: 9.9%Releg: 12.6%
3.7%
11Benevento logoBenevento#7Win: 3.7%Promo: 8.2%Playoff: 31.6%Playout: 9.9%Releg: 12.4%
3.7%
12Arezzo logoArezzo#12Win: 2.7%Promo: 6.1%Playoff: 26.5%Playout: 11.7%Releg: 17.6%
2.7%
13Empoli logoEmpoli#13Win: 2.7%Promo: 6.2%Playoff: 27.5%Playout: 11.6%Releg: 15.9%
2.7%
14Virtus Entella logoVirtus Entella#14Win: 2.2%Promo: 5.2%Playoff: 25.5%Playout: 12.3%Releg: 18.5%
2.2%
15Vicenza logoVicenza#15Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.7%Playoff: 23.8%Playout: 12.8%Releg: 19.7%
2.1%
16Cremonese logoCremonese#16Win: 2.1%Promo: 4.8%Playoff: 24.1%Playout: 12.8%Releg: 19.7%
2.1%
17Juve Stabia logoJuve Stabia#17Win: 2.0%Promo: 4.7%Playoff: 23.6%Playout: 12.9%Releg: 20.2%
2.0%
18Sampdoria logoSampdoria#18Win: 1.5%Promo: 3.6%Playoff: 20.1%Playout: 14.0%Releg: 24.9%
1.5%
19Catanzaro logoCatanzaro#19Win: 1.1%Promo: 2.7%Playoff: 16.8%Playout: 14.8%Releg: 29.6%
1.1%
20Carrarese logoCarrarese#20Win: 0.5%Promo: 1.4%Playoff: 11.6%Playout: 15.2%Releg: 40.8%
0.5%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Avellino#9Winner: 3.8%Promotion: 8.5%Playoff: 32.2%Playout: 9.7%Relegation: 11.9%5:00 PMSampdoria#18Winner: 1.5%Promotion: 3.6%Playoff: 20.1%Playout: 14.0%Relegation: 24.9%
7%
77%
Padova#6Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 8.1%Playoff: 31.2%Playout: 9.9%Relegation: 12.6%5:00 PMCarrarese#20Winner: 0.5%Promotion: 1.4%Playoff: 11.6%Playout: 15.2%Relegation: 40.8%
2%
90%
Virtus Entella#14Winner: 2.2%Promotion: 5.2%Playoff: 25.5%Playout: 12.3%Relegation: 18.5%5:00 PMJuve Stabia#17Winner: 2.0%Promotion: 4.7%Playoff: 23.6%Playout: 12.9%Relegation: 20.2%
8%
77%
Benevento#7Winner: 3.7%Promotion: 8.2%Playoff: 31.6%Playout: 9.9%Relegation: 12.4%5:00 PMCesena#10Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.5%Playoff: 32.3%Playout: 9.7%Relegation: 12.0%
5%
83%
Empoli#13Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 6.2%Playoff: 27.5%Playout: 11.6%Relegation: 15.9%5:00 PMPalermo#1Winner: 18.2%Promotion: 30.9%Playoff: 43.2%Playout: 2.9%Relegation: 2.0%
64%
13%
Catanzaro#19Winner: 1.1%Promotion: 2.7%Playoff: 16.8%Playout: 14.8%Relegation: 29.6%5:00 PMMantova#3Winner: 11.8%Promotion: 21.9%Playoff: 42.3%Playout: 4.5%Relegation: 3.9%
43%
29%
Modena#4Winner: 9.0%Promotion: 17.6%Playoff: 40.7%Playout: 5.7%Relegation: 5.3%5:00 PMHellas Verona#8Winner: 4.1%Promotion: 8.9%Playoff: 32.6%Playout: 9.4%Relegation: 11.5%
60%
16%
Sudtirol#2Winner: 12.3%Promotion: 22.6%Playoff: 42.0%Playout: 4.5%Relegation: 3.9%5:00 PMAscoli#5Winner: 8.7%Promotion: 17.0%Playoff: 40.8%Playout: 5.8%Relegation: 5.4%
43%
28%
Vicenza#15Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 4.7%Playoff: 23.8%Playout: 12.8%Relegation: 19.7%5:00 PMPisa#11Winner: 3.9%Promotion: 8.4%Playoff: 31.3%Playout: 9.9%Relegation: 12.3%
2%
92%
Arezzo#12Winner: 2.7%Promotion: 6.1%Playoff: 26.5%Playout: 11.7%Relegation: 17.6%5:00 PMCremonese#16Winner: 2.1%Promotion: 4.8%Playoff: 24.1%Playout: 12.8%Relegation: 19.7%
1%
95%

After Round 5: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • Carrarese's Releg probability dropped from 59.3% to 40.8% (-18.5%).
  • Juve Stabia's Releg probability dropped from 35.7% to 20.2% (-15.5%).
  • Ascoli's Promo probability dropped from 31.3% to 17% (-14.3%).
  • Sudtirol's Promo probability climbed from 9.9% to 22.6% (+12.7%).
  • Vicenza's Playoff probability dropped from 36.5% to 23.8% (-12.7%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

Serie B 26/27 — Season Outlook

Serie B 26/27Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Serie B 26/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Palermo currently have the highest title probability at 18%. With 33 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 26/27?
Carrarese currently faces the highest relegation risk at 41%, followed by Catanzaro at 30%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Serie B 26/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Serie B 26/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.