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Serie B 26/27 — Round 4 of 38

Updated at

Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1Mantova logoMantova#1Win: 14.0%Promo: 24.8%Playoff: 41.3%Playout: 4.3%Releg: 3.9%
14.0%
2Palermo logoPalermo#2Win: 13.7%Promo: 24.2%Playoff: 41.8%Playout: 4.3%Releg: 3.8%
13.7%
3Sudtirol logoSudtirol#3Win: 8.2%Promo: 16.0%Playoff: 38.6%Playout: 6.7%Releg: 6.8%
8.2%
4Modena logoModena#6Win: 6.6%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 35.9%Playout: 7.8%Releg: 8.7%
6.6%
5Avellino logoAvellino#4Win: 6.5%Promo: 13.2%Playoff: 36.3%Playout: 7.7%Releg: 8.7%
6.5%
6Ascoli logoAscoli#7Win: 6.1%Promo: 12.4%Playoff: 35.0%Playout: 8.3%Releg: 9.2%
6.1%
7Padova logoPadova#5Win: 5.9%Promo: 11.9%Playoff: 34.9%Playout: 8.3%Releg: 9.7%
5.9%
8Pisa logoPisa#10Win: 4.8%Promo: 9.9%Playoff: 32.3%Playout: 9.4%Releg: 11.6%
4.8%
9Cesena logoCesena#9Win: 4.7%Promo: 9.8%Playoff: 32.8%Playout: 9.5%Releg: 11.7%
4.7%
10Empoli logoEmpoli#11Win: 4.5%Promo: 9.3%Playoff: 31.9%Playout: 9.7%Releg: 12.4%
4.5%
11Arezzo logoArezzo#8Win: 4.3%Promo: 9.1%Playoff: 30.9%Playout: 9.9%Releg: 13.6%
4.3%
12Vicenza logoVicenza#12Win: 3.5%Promo: 7.4%Playoff: 28.4%Playout: 11.0%Releg: 15.6%
3.5%
13Hellas Verona logoHellas Verona#14Win: 2.9%Promo: 6.4%Playoff: 26.6%Playout: 11.6%Releg: 17.4%
2.9%
14Virtus Entella logoVirtus Entella#15Win: 2.9%Promo: 6.3%Playoff: 26.6%Playout: 11.6%Releg: 17.8%
2.9%
15Benevento logoBenevento#13Win: 2.6%Promo: 5.8%Playoff: 25.6%Playout: 12.2%Releg: 18.6%
2.6%
16Cremonese logoCremonese#16Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.6%Playoff: 24.8%Playout: 12.5%Releg: 19.0%
2.5%
17Juve Stabia logoJuve Stabia#17Win: 2.5%Promo: 5.6%Playoff: 24.4%Playout: 12.5%Releg: 19.9%
2.5%
18Catanzaro logoCatanzaro#18Win: 1.9%Promo: 4.4%Playoff: 21.5%Playout: 13.3%Releg: 23.5%
1.9%
19Sampdoria logoSampdoria#20Win: 1.0%Promo: 2.3%Playoff: 15.1%Playout: 14.5%Releg: 34.5%
1.0%
20Carrarese logoCarrarese#19Win: 0.9%Promo: 2.3%Playoff: 15.2%Playout: 14.9%Releg: 33.6%
0.9%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Juve Stabia#17Winner: 2.5%Promotion: 5.6%Playoff: 24.4%Playout: 12.5%Relegation: 19.9%6:30 PMCesena#9Winner: 4.7%Promotion: 9.8%Playoff: 32.8%Playout: 9.5%Relegation: 11.7%
5%
83%
Cremonese#16Winner: 2.5%Promotion: 5.6%Playoff: 24.8%Playout: 12.5%Relegation: 19.0%1:00 PMVirtus Entella#15Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 6.3%Playoff: 26.6%Playout: 11.6%Relegation: 17.8%
49%
25%
Carrarese#19Winner: 0.9%Promotion: 2.3%Playoff: 15.2%Playout: 14.9%Relegation: 33.6%1:00 PMBenevento#13Winner: 2.6%Promotion: 5.8%Playoff: 25.6%Playout: 12.2%Relegation: 18.6%
20%
53%
Palermo#2Winner: 13.7%Promotion: 24.2%Playoff: 41.8%Playout: 4.3%Relegation: 3.8%1:00 PMPadova#5Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 11.9%Playoff: 34.9%Playout: 8.3%Relegation: 9.7%
70%
10%
Sampdoria#20Winner: 1.0%Promotion: 2.3%Playoff: 15.1%Playout: 14.5%Relegation: 34.5%3:15 PMCatanzaro#18Winner: 1.9%Promotion: 4.4%Playoff: 21.5%Playout: 13.3%Relegation: 23.5%
25%
48%
Ascoli#7Winner: 6.1%Promotion: 12.4%Playoff: 35.0%Playout: 8.3%Relegation: 9.2%5:30 PMAvellino#4Winner: 6.5%Promotion: 13.2%Playoff: 36.3%Playout: 7.7%Relegation: 8.7%
94%
1%
Hellas Verona#14Winner: 2.9%Promotion: 6.4%Playoff: 26.6%Playout: 11.6%Relegation: 17.4%1:00 PMVicenza#12Winner: 3.5%Promotion: 7.4%Playoff: 28.4%Playout: 11.0%Relegation: 15.6%
89%
3%
Arezzo#8Winner: 4.3%Promotion: 9.1%Playoff: 30.9%Playout: 9.9%Relegation: 13.6%1:00 PMSudtirol#3Winner: 8.2%Promotion: 16.0%Playoff: 38.6%Playout: 6.7%Relegation: 6.8%
0%
98%
Mantova#1Winner: 14.0%Promotion: 24.8%Playoff: 41.3%Playout: 4.3%Relegation: 3.9%3:15 PMPisa#10Winner: 4.8%Promotion: 9.9%Playoff: 32.3%Playout: 9.4%Relegation: 11.6%
70%
10%
Modena#6Winner: 6.6%Promotion: 13.3%Playoff: 35.9%Playout: 7.8%Relegation: 8.7%5:30 PMEmpoli#11Winner: 4.5%Promotion: 9.3%Playoff: 31.9%Playout: 9.7%Relegation: 12.4%
65%
13%

After Round 4: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • Juve Stabia's Releg probability dropped from 35% to 19.9% (-15.1%).
  • Hellas Verona's Playoff probability dropped from 40.3% to 26.6% (-13.7%).
  • Carrarese's Releg probability dropped from 46.4% to 33.6% (-12.8%).
  • Avellino's Promo probability dropped from 23.6% to 13.2% (-10.4%).
  • Vicenza's Playoff probability dropped from 36.9% to 28.4% (-8.5%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

Serie B 26/27 — Season Outlook

Serie B 26/27Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Serie B 26/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Mantova currently have the highest title probability at 14%. With 34 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie B 26/27?
Sampdoria currently faces the highest relegation risk at 35%, followed by Carrarese at 34%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Serie B 26/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Serie B 26/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.