Skip to main content
Monza

Monza Champions League Groups Chances

Serie A 26/27

0.5%
Winner
2.4%
↓ -0.1% since last round
Champions League Groups
4.2%
Europe League Groups
3.2%
Conference League Qualifying
31.3%
Relegation

Monza face long odds for Champions League qualification, with only a 2.4% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 16 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner0.5%
Champions League Groups2.4%
Europe League Groups4.2%
Conference League Qualifying3.2%
Relegation31.3%

Monza are currently 16th in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (1W 1D 3L, 4 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 2.4%, Monza are currently a long shot for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Monza's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Monza's probability of Champions League qualification has dropped from 3% to 2.4%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Monza achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Serie A 26/27 — Champions League Groups odds for every team

Roma33.7%
Inter33.3%
Lazio39.6%
Cagliari26.3%
Milan23.4%
Juventus24.1%
Frosinone24.7%
Como23.8%
Napoli12.7%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →

View full Monza stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.