Napoli Final Chances
Champions League 2026/27
Napoli face long odds for reaching the Final, with only a 3.3% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Champion | 1.1% |
| Final | 3.3% |
| Semifinals | 9.0% |
| Quarterfinals | 21.8% |
| Round of 16 | 48.7% |
| Playoff Spot | 74.0% |
| Eliminated | 26.0% |
Napoli are currently 10th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 3.3%, Napoli are currently a long shot for reaching the Final. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Napoli's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Napoli's probability of reaching the Final has dropped from 5.9% to 3.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Napoli achieves reaching the Final across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Final odds for every team
| Bayern München | 40.1% |
| Barcelona | 31.5% |
| Inter | 29.8% |
| Manchester City | 23.0% |
| Arsenal | 17.0% |
| Manchester United | 9.5% |
| Real Madrid | 8.2% |
| Roma | 7.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 3.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.