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Napoli

Napoli Round of 16 Chances

Champions League 2026/27

1.1%
Champion
3.3%
Final
9.0%
Semifinals
21.8%
Quarterfinals
48.7%
Round of 16
74.0%
Playoff Spot
26.0%
Eliminated

Napoli remain in realistic contention for reaching the Round of 16 at 48.7%.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 18Last updated: 25 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Champion1.1%
Final3.3%
Semifinals9.0%
Quarterfinals21.8%
Round of 1648.7%
Playoff Spot74.0%
Eliminated26.0%

Napoli are currently 10th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 48.7%, Napoli are currently a realistic contender for reaching the Round of 16. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Napoli's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Napoli's probability of reaching the Round of 16 has dropped from 61.4% to 48.7%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Napoli achieves reaching the Round of 16 across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Round of 16 odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →

View full Napoli stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.