Napoli Winner Chances
Serie A 26/27
Napoli face long odds for winning the title, with only a 3.5% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 3.5% |
| Champions League Groups | 12.8% |
| Europe League Groups | 11.3% |
| Conference League Qualifying | 6.1% |
| Relegation | 9.0% |
Napoli are currently 9th in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (2W 1D 2L, 7 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 3.5%, Napoli are currently a long shot for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Napoli's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Napoli's probability of winning the title has held steady around 3.5% over the last round.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Napoli achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Serie A 26/27 — Winner odds for every team
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.