CRB#7 · 45 pts's 1-0 victory over Avaí on August 11, 2026, resulted in a significant shift in championship probabilities for both teams. Avaí's chances of relegation increased markedly from 50.6% to 59.6% following the defeat. This result leaves Avaí tied on points with Londrina#18 · 28 pts at the bottom of the table, both with 20 points, increasing the pressure as they fight to avoid a drop to Serie C.
In contrast, CRB#7 · 45 pts experienced a favorable swing in their promotion probability. Prior to the match, their likelihood of moving up to Serie A stood at 13.9%, but the victory has boosted this figure to 20.6%. Additionally, CRB#7 · 45 pts's chances of claiming the championship title have risen from 1.8% to 3.0%. These changes reflect CRB#7 · 45 pts's advancement in the standings from 10th to 8th, where they now sit level on points with three other teams at 32 points.
The negative delta for Avaí contrasts sharply with the positive outcomes for CRB#7 · 45 pts. As Avaí's relegation risk climbs, CRB#7 · 45 pts continues to make strides towards the top of the table, benefiting from reduced relegation probabilities, now at just 1.6%, down from 4.2% before the match.
The next rounds will be crucial for both teams. Avaí must find ways to reverse their downward trend to stay clear of the relegation zone, while CRB#7 · 45 pts will aim to maintain momentum and secure a stronger foothold in the promotion race.