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Brasileiro 2026, Serie B·2026-06-30·Round 15

Náutico vs Goiás Could Change the Promotion Race (2% Swing)

By Alberto Ibarra · · Match Report

Náutico vs Goiás Could Change the Promotion Race (2% Swing)

Botafogo-SP's chances of promotion from Serie B have decreased significantly following their 0-1 home defeat to CRB on June 30, 2026. Before the match, Botafogo-SP had a 5.4% probability of promotion, but this loss has seen that figure drop to just 3.3%. This result also negatively impacts their relegation outlook, with their chances of dropping to Serie C rising from 24.6% to 31.8%.

CRB, on the other hand, have improved their position both in terms of immediate safety and potential promotion. Prior to the match, CRB had a 24.8% chance of relegation, but their victory has reduced this probability by 8.5%, bringing it down to 16.3%. Additionally, CRB's prospects of promotion have increased from 5.3% to 8.3%, reflecting a positive trend as they climb to 14th place with 19 points.

Currently, Botafogo-SP find themselves in 16th position, and their trajectory is concerning for supporters. The team has slipped two places in the standings, which indicates an urgent need to address their form if they are to avoid falling into a relegation battle. Meanwhile, CRB's ascent in both points and standing provides a more favorable outlook as they continue to close in on the upper half of the table.

In the upcoming rounds, all eyes will be on Botafogo-SP as they strive to halt their descent and improve their standing. CRB will aim to capitalize on their recent success and further increase their promotion prospects.

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