Skip to main content
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B·2026-06-25·Round 15

Náutico vs Goiás Could Change the Promotion Race (2% Swing)

By Alberto Ibarra · · Match Report

Náutico vs Goiás Could Change the Promotion Race (2% Swing)

Cuiabá's 2-2 draw with Londrina on June 25 resulted in a minor shift in their promotion and relegation probabilities. Cuiabá's chances of promotion decreased from 12.9% to 11.3%, reflecting a -1.6% swing. The result leaves Cuiabá in 10th position with 20 points from 15 matches, a position that has them trailing the promotion contenders by a significant margin.

For Londrina, the draw had a negative impact on their relegation probabilities, increasing from 35.9% to 37.8%, a +1.9% shift. Currently positioned in 17th place with 15 points, Londrina remains closer to the relegation zone, needing to secure more victories to alleviate their precarious position.

With Cuiabá slipping from 10th to 12th place in recent weeks, their trajectory indicates a need for improved performance to stay in contention for promotion. Londrina's chances of avoiding relegation are narrowing, making upcoming fixtures crucial for their survival in Serie B. As the league approaches its midpoint, both teams face critical matches that will determine their prospects for the remainder of the season.

Live probability analysis

Go to the championship page to see the complete probability analysis with updated title, promotion and relegation chances.

Check full probability analysis