São Bernardo#1 · 17 pts's victory over Goiás#10 · 13 pts has resulted in a significant swing in their championship probabilities, with their chance of winning the title increasing from 4.9% to 7.4%. This also boosted their promotion probability by 7.0%, now standing at 27.6%. Conversely, Goiás#10 · 13 pts experienced a 4.9% increase in relegation probability, reaching 22.4%, and a decrease in promotion chances from 20.0% to 15.2%. This reflects their drop in the standings from 11th to 15th place.
Criciúma#7 · 13 pts's 3-1 triumph over CRB#13 · 11 pts has propelled them into the winner race, with their title probability rising from 4.8% to 7.4%. They also saw a substantial 7.4% increase in their promotion chances, now at 27.5%, while their relegation probability decreased by 6.0% to 11.4%. CRB#13 · 11 pts's defeat has led to a sharp 7.1% increase in relegation probability, reaching 48.5%, and a drop in promotion prospects from 6.5% to 4.5%.
Atlético-GO#11 · 12 pts's unexpected 2-1 win against Avaí has resulted in an 8.2% decrease in their relegation probability, now at 22.2%, and a 4.7% increase in promotion chances, climbing to 15.4%. Avaí, on the other hand, saw their title chances fade from 6.1% to 4.3% and their promotion probability fall by 5.5% to 18.6%.
As the league progresses, attention will be focused on whether São Bernardo#1 · 17 pts and Criciúma#7 · 13 pts can maintain their upward momentum, and if Goiás#10 · 13 pts and CRB#13 · 11 pts can recover from their setbacks in the upcoming rounds.