In a decisive round of Coppa Italia action, Cremonese#1 · 0 pts and Monza#1 · 0 pts advanced in the competition, while Parma#1 · 0 pts and Torino#1 · 0 pts are out. Coppa Italia is a straight knockout: a single defeat ends a team's campaign immediately, with no path back into later rounds. Cremonese#1 · 0 pts's 2-0 win over Parma#1 · 0 pts eliminated Parma#1 · 0 pts on the spot and produced a significant probability swing for the winners. Cremonese#1 · 0 pts's chances of reaching the Round of 16 increased from 15.0% to 35.6%, and their probability of progressing to the Quarterfinals rose substantially from 5.4% to 14.2%.
Monza#1 · 0 pts's 1-0 win against Torino#1 · 0 pts likewise sent Torino#1 · 0 pts out of the tournament while boosting Monza#1 · 0 pts's own prospects. Monza#1 · 0 pts's probability of reaching the Round of 16 climbed from 26.0% to 43.1%, and their chances of making it to the Quarterfinals increased from 14.7% to 23.2%. Monza#1 · 0 pts have also entered the race for the Final and the trophy itself, with their title probability now at 5.7%, up from 4.1%.
Parma#1 · 0 pts and Torino#1 · 0 pts, meanwhile, are done for the season. Every one of their probabilities — Round of 16, Quarterfinals, Semifinals, Final, and Winner — has been reduced to 0.0% across the board, reflecting their elimination rather than a mere setback.
Looking ahead, Cremonese#1 · 0 pts and Monza#1 · 0 pts will aim to capitalize on their momentum in the upcoming rounds, while other sides still alive in the bracket look to avoid Parma#1 · 0 pts and Torino#1 · 0 pts's fate.