Bundesliga 25/26·2026-03-04

Stuttgart Surges Toward Champions League, Leipzig's Hopes Dwindle

· Round-up

VfB Stuttgart has taken a significant leap towards securing a coveted spot in the Champions League, with their probability of qualifying skyrocketing by 23.6% over the past two rounds, now standing at an impressive 72.3%. This surge comes despite fierce competition, as Stuttgart shares the same points with Hoffenheim, who themselves hold a strong 74.6% probability of clinching a Champions League spot. Stuttgart's recent performance has been pivotal, and they are now in an excellent position to return to Europe's top competition.

Conversely, RasenBallsport Leipzig has seen their Champions League hopes take a hit, with a notable drop of 11.7%, bringing their chances down to 30.3%. This dip reflects the intense competition in the Bundesliga's upper echelons, as Leipzig finds themselves trailing in the race for a top-four finish. However, they have seen a small consolation in an increase of 6.7% for a place in the Conference League, now at 30.4%.

Bayer Leverkusen has experienced mixed fortunes; their chances of making it to the Conference League have dipped by 6.4%, now at 34.3%. However, their Europa League prospects have improved, rising by 4.3% to 28.7%, and a slight increase in their Champions League hopes to 23.3%. Eintracht Frankfurt, meanwhile, has marginally improved their standing in the race for European competition with slight increases in their chances for both the Conference League and Europa League.

As the Bundesliga season progresses, all eyes will be on these key battles for European qualification, with Stuttgart and Hoffenheim currently leading the charge for Champions League spots. The coming weeks will be crucial as Leipzig and Leverkusen strive to improve their standings and secure a place in European competitions.