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2. Bundesliga 26/27·2026-10-31·Round 10

Hertha BSC Increases Championship Lead with Decisive Win

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

66.5% probability now marks Hertha BSC as the favorite to win the 2. Bundesliga, up from 55.7% before their commanding 3-0 victory over Kaiserslautern. This result has also bolstered their promotion chances to 83.7%, a notable increase from 74.9%. Hertha BSC remains unbeaten, topping the standings with 28 points from 10 matches, showcasing their strong form.

VfL Wolfsburg's promotion probability rose from 17.6% to 25.1% following their 2-0 victory against Osnabrück. This win also increased their playoff chances to 14.9%. Wolfsburg now sits second in the league with 19 points, nine points behind Hertha BSC. Meanwhile, Osnabrück faces a higher relegation probability, now at 13.4%, up from 8.7%.

Karlsruher SC's win over FC Heidenheim has significantly reduced their relegation probability from 23.1% to 15.1%. This victory propelled them up five places in the standings to 9th. Conversely, FC Heidenheim's promotion chances decreased from 11.9% to 7.7%. Magdeburg's draw with Darmstadt 98 saw their winner probability dip to 3.9% from 5.7%.

As Hertha BSC extends their lead, the promotion race remains competitive with several teams vying for the remaining spots. The coming rounds will be crucial for teams like VfL Wolfsburg and Karlsruher SC as they aim to secure their positions.

Live probability analysis

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