Skip to main content
La Liga 25/26·2026-05-08·Round 35

Elche vs Alavés Could Reshape the Champions League Places Battle (2%…

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Match Report

Elche vs Alavés Could Reshape the Champions League Places Battle (2%…

In a thrilling encounter at the Estadi Ciutat de València, Levante clinched a dramatic 3-2 victory over Osasuna, a result that significantly impacts both teams' fortunes as the La Liga season nears its climax. While Levante's win provides a glimmer of hope in their relegation battle, Osasuna's slim chances of European qualification have all but evaporated.

Levante, facing an uphill battle against relegation with a daunting 86.6% probability of dropping down before the match, saw that figure fall to a slightly more manageable 72.6% following this crucial win. The victory lifts them to 19th place, level on points with 18th-placed Alavés but trailing in goal difference. For a team that has struggled throughout the season, this result offers a much-needed boost in their quest for survival, and they'll be looking to build on this momentum in the remaining fixtures.

Osasuna, on the other hand, will rue the missed opportunity. Entering the match with a 3.0% shot at the Conference League, their defeat has now reduced that slim chance to a mere 0.5%, effectively ending their European aspirations for the season. Despite the loss, Osasuna remains secure from relegation worries, comfortably positioned in 10th place with 42 points.

As the season draws to a close, Levante must continue to fight tooth and nail to avoid the drop, while Osasuna will look to finish the campaign on a high note, despite their dashed European hopes. With just three matches left, every game counts, and fans can expect more twists and turns in this tightly contested league.

Live probability analysis

Go to the championship page to see the complete probability analysis with updated title, promotion and relegation chances.

Check full probability analysis