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La Liga 25/26·2026-04-10·Round 31

Celta vs Real Oviedo Could Change the Title Race (2% Swing)

· Match Report

Celta vs Real Oviedo Could Change the Title Race (2% Swing)

Real Madrid's hopes of clinching the La Liga title took a hit as they were held to a 1-1 draw by Girona at the Santiago Bernabéu. The match, part of round 31, saw Real Madrid's probability of winning the championship decrease from 8.0% to 6.3%, while Barcelona, their arch-rivals, now have a commanding 93.7% chance of lifting the trophy.

Despite maintaining a solid second position on the table with 70 points, Real Madrid's title ambitions suffered as they failed to close the gap on leaders Barcelona, who sit comfortably with 76 points and a match in hand. The draw means that Los Blancos are now relying on Barcelona to falter in the remaining fixtures if they are to have any chance of claiming the top spot.

For Girona, the draw was a positive result, keeping them safely away from relegation concerns. They now sit 12th on the table with 38 points, maintaining a small but crucial buffer from the bottom three. While their chances of qualifying for any European competition remain slim, with just 0.9% for the Europa League and 2.3% for the Conference League, every point counts in securing their top-flight status.

As the season enters its final stretch, Real Madrid will need to regroup and aim for maximum points in their remaining matches, hopeful for a slip-up from Barcelona. Meanwhile, Girona will look to build on this result to ensure a comfortable finish to their campaign.