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La Liga 25/26·2026-05-04·Round 34

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Could Reshape the Champions League Places…

By Alberto Ibarra · · Match Report

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Could Reshape the Champions League Places…

Sevilla's 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad carries significant implications for their survival in La Liga. This win has reduced Sevilla's relegation probability dramatically from 47.6% pre-match to 25.5% post-match. Over the last three rounds, Sevilla's relegation probability has decreased by 32.6%, from 58.1% to the current 25.5%. This result places them 17th with 37 points, just above the relegation zone, providing a critical buffer with only four matches remaining in the season.

Real Sociedad's defeat has further diminished their chances of qualifying for the Conference League. Their probability for securing a spot in the competition has decreased by 7.8% in the last round, now standing at 6.1%. Over the past two rounds, their likelihood of playing in the Conference League has dropped from 16.5% to 6.1%, while their Europa League hopes have almost vanished, falling from 3.0% to 0.1%.

Real Sociedad remains in 9th position with 43 points, leaving them in a precarious position as they strive for European competition. Meanwhile, Sevilla's recent form has brightened their prospects as they aim to distance themselves further from the relegation threat. The next few rounds will be crucial as Sevilla seeks to capitalize on this momentum, while Real Sociedad will need a winning streak to revive their European aspirations.

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