Skip to main content
La Liga 25/26·2026-05-24·Round 38

Mallorca vs Real Oviedo Could Reshape the Champions League Places…

By Alberto Ibarra · · Match Report

Mallorca vs Real Oviedo Could Reshape the Champions League Places…

Villarreal's decisive 5-1 victory over Atlético de Madrid marked a dominant conclusion to the La Liga season on May 24, 2026. Both teams entered the match with a 100% probability of qualifying for the Champions League, a status that remained unchanged post-match. The result confirmed Villarreal's third-place finish with 72 points, while Atlético settled for fourth with 69 points.

Before the match, neither Villarreal nor Atlético had any probability of winning the league or facing relegation, as both were mathematically secure in their Champions League spots. Villarreal's commanding performance, highlighted by a significant goal differential improvement, consolidated their position in the top tier of European football for the next season.

In parallel, Mallorca's relegation avoidance was mathematically confirmed. Their relegation probability shifted from 100% to 0.0%, ensuring their stay in La Liga following the final round. This marks a critical achievement for Mallorca, as they join Villarreal and Atlético in looking forward to another season at the top level.

As the season concludes, the focus now shifts to the upcoming transfer window and pre-season preparations. Teams will aim to bolster their squads for the challenges ahead, with Villarreal and Atlético both eyeing deeper runs in the Champions League next year.

Live probability analysis

Go to the championship page to see the complete probability analysis with updated title, promotion and relegation chances.

Check full probability analysis