La Liga 25/26·2026-03-14

Real Madrid Closes the Gap, Atlético Secures Champions League Spot

· Round-up

In a thrilling weekend of La Liga action, Real Madrid has closed the gap on league leaders Barcelona, following a convincing 4-1 victory over Elche. This win, combined with Barcelona's previous slip, has slightly boosted Real Madrid's title chances, now at 31.6%. Meanwhile, Atlético de Madrid has cemented their stronghold in the top four, securing a Champions League spot with an impressive 99.1% probability, despite their narrow 1-0 win against Getafe.

Elsewhere, Girona's 3-0 triumph over Athletic Bilbao has lifted them out of the relegation race, with their chances now a mere 0.2%. The victory also saw Girona's prospects of qualifying for the Conference League increase to 10.5%, while Athletic Bilbao's chances dropped to 5.0%. Meanwhile, Valencia's defeat at the hands of Real Oviedo has seen them slip closer to the relegation zone, with their chances increasing to 5.0%.

As the race heats up, Elche's relegation fears have intensified following their loss to Real Madrid, with their probability of dropping down now at 44.7%. The coming rounds will be crucial for both Barcelona and Real Madrid in the title race, and for teams like Valencia and Elche, who are fighting to avoid the drop. With just ten rounds left, every match could be decisive in shaping the final standings.