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La Liga 25/26·2026-04-11

Round 31: The Games That Define the Title Race

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Round 31: The Games That Define the Title Race

In a thrilling Round 31 of La Liga, Barcelona continues to assert its dominance at the top of the table, widening its championship probability to a commanding 97.3% following a convincing 4-1 victory over Espanyol. This win not only solidifies their position but also marks Espanyol's exit from the Europa League race, with their chances dwindling to a mere 0.5%. Barcelona's relentless pursuit of the title sees them sitting comfortably with 79 points, maintaining a nine-point lead over their arch-rivals Real Madrid, whose championship hopes have faded to just 2.7% after a recent dip in form.

Sevilla's narrow 2-1 victory against Atlético de Madrid proved crucial in their battle to avoid relegation. This win significantly boosted Sevilla's safety prospects, cutting their relegation probability from 27.9% to 14.5%. Elche also pulled off a surprising 1-0 victory over Valencia, which not only decreased Elche's relegation chances by 14.4% to 30.4% but also thrust Valencia into the relegation conversation, with their probability rising from 3.4% to 10.4%.

While Real Sociedad and Alavés played out a 3-3 draw, Alavés found themselves closer to the drop zone, their relegation probability increasing by 5.3% to 22.9%. Meanwhile, Celta's prospects for a Europa League spot have been given a slight boost, up to 32.1%, offering them hope in the final stretch of the season.

As we head into the next rounds, all eyes will be on Barcelona to see if they can maintain their momentum and clinch the title, while at the bottom, the relegation battle is heating up with several teams desperately fighting for safety.

Live probability analysis

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