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La Liga 25/26·2026-04-21

Real Madrid Surge to 5% Title Probability

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Real Madrid Surge to 5% Title Probability

In a thrilling night of La Liga action, Betis emerged as the standout team, significantly boosting their Europa League qualifications after a narrow 3-2 victory over Girona. This win has propelled Betis into a stronger position, with their chances of securing a Europa League spot rising dramatically by 15.3%, now standing at an impressive 71.4%. As Betis climbs the ladder, their Conference League probability has decreased to 18.9%, suggesting their sights are firmly set on the higher echelon of European competition.

Meanwhile, Real Madrid's hard-fought 2-1 win against Alavés has increased their title-winning probability from 2.7% to 5.1%. However, Alavés finds themselves in a precarious situation as their relegation chances have surged by 13.5%, now at 42.2%. Athletic Bilbao also had a significant evening, securing a 1-0 victory over Osasuna, which effectively removed them from the relegation race, dropping their chances to a mere 0.1%. Moreover, this win has reignited their hopes in the Conference League race, with a noticeable increase to 5.7%.

On the other hand, Osasuna's defeat has dented their European dreams as they exit the Europa League race and see their Conference League hopes dwindle to just 1.9%. Similarly, Girona's loss to Betis has seen them fall out of contention for the Conference League.

As the league nears its climax, all eyes will be on Betis to see if they can maintain their momentum in the quest for Europa League qualification, while Alavés must fight to avoid relegation. The next few rounds promise more drama as teams jostle for position, either fighting for European spots or battling to maintain their top-flight status.

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Real Madrid Surge to 5% Title Probability – April 2026 | CupChances