Athletic Bilbao#12 · 45 pts's probability of qualifying for the Conference League has increased from 4.7% to 11.0% following their 4-2 victory over Alavés#14 · 43 pts. This win has positioned them strongly in the race for European competition. Meanwhile, Levante#18 · 42 pts's relegation probability has significantly risen from 69.4% to 84.3% after a heavy 5-1 defeat against Villarreal#3 · 72 pts, marking a critical point in their battle to stay in La Liga.
Alavés#14 · 43 pts has experienced an increase in relegation probability, now at 31.6%, up from 22.4%. Their loss to Athletic Bilbao#12 · 45 pts has contributed to this unfavorable shift. Conversely, Sevilla#15 · 43 pts's relegation threat has decreased to 49.3%, down by 8.8% from the previous round. This change offers a glimmer of hope for Sevilla#15 · 43 pts as they fight to maintain their top-flight status.
Valencia#9 · 49 pts is effectively out of the Conference League race with their probability dropping to a mere 0.2% following their 2-0 defeat against Atlético de Madrid#4 · 69 pts. This loss also slightly increased their relegation risk to 4.7%, up from 3.2%. Osasuna#16 · 42 pts's prospects for the Conference League have similarly diminished, now at 3.9% from 10.3%, after a 2-1 loss to Barcelona#1 · 94 pts.
In the upcoming rounds, attention will be focused on whether Athletic Bilbao#12 · 45 pts can solidify their position in European competition and if Levante#18 · 42 pts can reverse their relegation trajectory. With only four matches remaining, every game carries significant implications for the final standings.