Skip to main content
La Liga 25/26·2026-05-12

Round 36: Celta vs Levante Headline the La Liga Action

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Round 36: Celta vs Levante Headline the La Liga Action

Betis has clinched a berth in the Europa League, pushing their probability from 96.7% to a perfect 100%. This decisive shift came after their 2-1 victory over Elche, which also mathematically eliminated them from the Conference League race, as their probability of qualifying dropped from 3.2% to 0.0%. Betis remains in fifth place with 56 points, solidifying their position as one of the top teams outside the Champions League spots.

Celta's chances for Europa League qualification have evaporated, plummeting from 3.1% to 0.0% following their 2-3 defeat against Levante. This loss also impacted their prospects in the Conference League, dropping their probability from 71.6% to 60.7%. Celta remains in sixth place, but their path to European competition next season is narrowing.

Levante's victory over Celta has significantly improved their chances of avoiding relegation, with a probability swing from 73.9% to 44.5%. This result provides a critical boost to their survival hopes as they now stand at 39 points, level with Mallorca and Girona, but ahead on goal difference.

For Elche, the defeat against Betis increased their relegation probability from 13.7% to 28.9%, putting them in a precarious position with just two games remaining. The upcoming matches will be crucial for teams like Levante and Elche as they battle to secure their La Liga status for the next season.

Live probability analysis

Go to the championship page to see the complete probability analysis with updated title, promotion and relegation chances.

Check full probability analysis