Serie A 25/26·2026-03-02

Relegation Fears Intensify for Fiorentina as Bologna and Udinese Shine

· Round-up

In a weekend of mixed fortunes in Serie A, Fiorentina's relegation worries have grown after a heavy 3-0 defeat to Udinese. With their relegation probability jumping by a significant 7.2% to 30.0%, the loss has left Fiorentina precariously placed just three points above the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Udinese's victory not only boosted their standing in the league but also showcased their potential to climb higher, sitting comfortably at 10th with 35 points.

Bologna, on the other hand, secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Pisa, further solidifying their position in the top half of the table. This win has slightly improved their chances of qualifying for the Champions League, now standing at a modest 3.0%. Bologna's win also added to Pisa's woes, increasing Pisa's relegation probability to a daunting 96.0%, making their escape from the bottom of the table seem almost impossible.

While Genoa and Lecce have seen a slight reduction in their relegation probabilities, now at 10.9% and 34.0% respectively, it's Torino who have made the most significant strides. Over the past three rounds, Torino's relegation probability has plummeted by 8.6% to just 3.1%, indicating a positive trend that could ensure their safety if maintained.

As the Serie A season progresses, the battle for survival at the bottom promises to be intense. Keep an eye on Fiorentina's upcoming fixtures as they fight to stave off relegation, and watch if Bologna can inch closer to an unlikely European qualification.