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Serie A 25/26·2026-04-06

Roma's European Dreams Surge as Juventus Falters

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Roma's European Dreams Surge as Juventus Falters

In a gripping twist in the Serie A standings, Roma's recent victories have catapulted them into serious contention for the Champions League group stage. Their probability has surged by 15.2%, now standing at an enticing 49.0%. This significant boost is complemented by a 7.0% rise in their chances for the Europa League groups, now at 28.6%. Roma's form has been impeccable, and with their sights set on European football, the coming weeks will be crucial.

Juventus, on the other hand, has seen their Champions League prospects take a considerable hit, dropping by 26.7% to 53.8%. Despite being just three points behind Roma, their recent performance has seen their probability of making it to the Europa League groups decrease by 5.5%, now at 31.7%. Juventus will need to regroup quickly if they wish to secure their spot in European competitions.

Meanwhile, Atalanta is making waves by entering the Europa League race with their probability increasing to 8.8%. Their chances for the Champions League groups have also improved slightly, now at 12.1%. Another team on the rise is Como, who despite a slight dip in Europa League probability, have a strong 86.4% chance of securing a Champions League spot, thanks to a 5.1% increase.

At the other end of the table, Lecce's relegation fears have intensified with their probability climbing to 29.6%. Cremonese faces an even grimmer outlook with a 52.8% chance of dropping to a lower division. Cagliari, however, has seen a slight relief as their relegation probability has decreased to 13.2%.

As the race intensifies, all eyes will be on the next few rounds to see if Roma can maintain their momentum and if Juventus can reclaim their footing in the race for European qualification. With just seven matches remaining, every point is crucial in this tightly contested Serie A season.