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Serie A 25/26·2026-04-17

Inter Surge to 100% Title Probability

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Inter Surge to 100% Title Probability

Inter Milan has all but secured the Serie A championship after a resounding 3-0 victory against Cagliari, boosting their chances to an impressive 99.7%. With this win, Inter not only cements their position at the top but also pushes Napoli out of the title race, as their probability to win has diminished to a mere 0.3%. Inter's remarkable performance this season, now totaling 78 points from 33 games, has them poised to lift the trophy with just a few rounds remaining.

Meanwhile, Como's hopes of qualifying for the Champions League took a significant hit following their unexpected 2-1 loss to Sassuolo. This defeat has resulted in a substantial drop in their Champions League qualification chances, now down to 53.8% from 67.1%. The loss allowed Roma to make gains, with their Champions League prospects rising to 50.4% after a favorable shift in standings. Juventus also sees a boost in their Champions League probability, climbing to 88.2%.

On the flip side, Cagliari's defeat not only affected their position on the table but also increased their relegation risk slightly to 2.9%. As the season progresses, the battle for the European spots continues to heat up with Atalanta and Juventus improving their standings, while Milan and Como face mounting pressure to hold their positions.

As Serie A heads into its final rounds, all eyes will be on the tussle for the remaining European qualification spots, particularly how Como and Roma perform under pressure. With crucial matches on the horizon, the coming weeks promise more twists in this thrilling season.

Live probability analysis

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