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Serie A 25/26·2026-05-02

Inter Surge to 100% Title Probability

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Round-up

Inter Surge to 100% Title Probability

The battle for a Champions League spot took an intriguing turn this weekend as Como's 0-0 draw against Napoli slightly dented their chances. Despite holding Napoli to a draw, Como's probability of securing a Champions League position dipped by 3.4%, now sitting at a hopeful yet precarious 56.7%. While Como remains in the top five, the draw left them two points behind Juventus, who have a game in hand.

Napoli, comfortably in second place, showed resilience. Their nearly certain 99.9% chance of Champions League qualification remains unscathed, reflecting their consistent form throughout the season. Meanwhile, Roma is steadily climbing the ranks. Though they didn't play this round, they benefited from Como's slip, boosting their Champions League hopes to 50.7% and their Europa League chances to 36.1%.

Elsewhere, Atalanta and Genoa's goalless draw didn't shift the standings significantly. Atalanta remains in seventh, with a slim chance of European qualification at 0.3%. The mid-table clash between Udinese and Torino saw Udinese triumphing 2-0, though it had no bearing on European qualifications or relegation.

As the Serie A season heads into its final rounds, the race for Champions League spots intensifies. Juventus and Roma are poised to capitalize on any further slips by Como, setting up a thrilling finale to the season. Keep an eye on the upcoming fixtures to see how the battle for European football unfolds.

Live probability analysis

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