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Serie A 25/26·2026-05-03

Round 35: Roma vs Fiorentina Headline the Serie A Action

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Round 35: Roma vs Fiorentina Headline the Serie A Action

Milan's probability of qualifying for the Europa League Groups has increased from 3.6% to 7.9%, even as they suffered a 2–0 defeat against Sassuolo. This loss, however, did not significantly impact their standing in the Champions League qualification race, which remains robust at 99.6%. The team remains in third place with 67 points, trailing Napoli by three points. Milan's focus will likely be on solidifying their grip on a Champions League spot while keeping an eye on the Europa League as a fallback option.

Juventus, with a 1–1 draw against relegation-bound Hellas Verona, saw their EuropaGroups probability remain stable at 20.4%. Their Champions League probability is still strong at 92.8%, maintaining their fourth-place position with 65 points. Meanwhile, Roma's Europa League qualification probability decreased from 36.1% to 33.3%, as they did not play this round, which allowed Milan to gain ground in the race.

Como also experienced a decline in their EuropaGroups probability, dropping to 37.4% from 39.5%. They remain in fifth place with 62 points, having missed a chance to capitalize on the missed opportunities of others.

Inter, having secured a decisive 2–0 victory over Parma, continue to lead the standings with 82 points, and their Champions League qualification probability is nearly perfect at 99.9%. With three rounds remaining, all eyes will be on the battle for the remaining European spots, as Milan, Juventus, Roma, and Como jockey for position in the final rounds of the season.

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