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Serie A 26/27·2026-09-20·Round 5

Milan and Frosinone Reduce Relegation Risk, Juventus and Milan Surge in Champions Race

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Milan and Frosinone Reduce Relegation Risk, Juventus and Milan Surge in Champions Race

Milan's probability of winning Serie A increased from 4.8% to 7.6% following a decisive 3-0 victory over Lecce. This result also saw Milan's relegation risk plummet from 6.7% to 3.9%. With this performance, Milan has improved their standing to 5th place with 11 points, solidifying their entry into the championship race. Meanwhile, their probability of reaching the Champions League group stage rose by 6.9% to 23.4%.

Juventus also made significant strides, lowering their relegation probability from 6.6% to 3.9% after a 2-0 victory against Atalanta. This win pushed their Champions League group stage probability up by 6.6% to 24.1%. Juventus now holds 7th place with 10 points, signaling a strong position in the race for European competition.

Frosinone achieved a notable reduction in their relegation risk, which decreased from 6.3% to 3.8% after defeating Como 2-0. This victory propelled them to 6th place in the standings with 10 points. Their probability of reaching the Champions League group stage jumped by 6.5% to 24.7%, indicating a positive trend for the club.

Parma's unexpected 2-1 win over Genoa contributed to a significant decrease in their relegation probability, from 33.8% to 24.2%. This victory also allowed Parma to enter the Europa League groups race, increasing their probability from 4.2% to 5.8%. Currently, Parma is positioned 15th in the standings with 4 points.

As the season progresses, the competition for European qualifications will intensify, with particular focus on clubs like Milan and Juventus aiming for a strong presence in the Champions League.

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