Serie B 25/26·2026-02-28

Shifting Sands in Serie B: Padova's Decline and Monza's Ascent

· Round-up

In a dramatic turn of events in Serie B, Padova has seen its relegation chances significantly diminish, dropping from 5.2% to just 1.8%. This decline comes as the team experiences a surge in playoff aspirations, now standing at 15.9%, driven by a recent performance that has seen them gain 7.2% in playoff probability. Meanwhile, their playout chances have also fallen to 6.3%, indicating a potential escape from the relegation zone.

Conversely, Spezia has struggled as they now face a 47.9% chance of relegation, marking an alarming increase of 12.5% in just one round. This has left them vulnerable, while Reggiana also finds itself in a precarious position, with relegation probability increasing to 14.1% after an 11.9% drop. On the brighter side, Monza is on an impressive upward trajectory, with their promotion chances soaring to 67.6% after a 14.4% increase over two rounds, coupled with an increase in playoff probability to 32.4%.

As we look ahead, the next rounds will be crucial for teams like Monza as they aim to solidify their promotion status, while Spezia and Reggiana must find a way to reverse their fortunes to avoid the drop. The upcoming matches promise to reshape the landscape of Serie B even further.