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Serie B 25/26·2026-04-18

Frosinone Surge to 56% Promotion Probability

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Frosinone Surge to 56% Promotion Probability

In a pivotal Round 35, Venezia consolidated their position at the top of Serie B with a commanding 3-0 victory over Bari, significantly boosting their championship prospects to an impressive 78.4%. This win not only solidified their lead in the standings but also pushed Bari further into relegation danger, with their relegation probability now surging to 66.4%. Frosinone also made significant strides with a 2-1 away win against Modena, climbing to second place with a 56.5% chance of promotion, and narrowing the gap with Venezia.

Meanwhile, Avellino emerged as a surprise contender in the race for playoffs. Their 2-0 victory over Mantova propelled them into the playoff conversation, with their chances soaring from 4.5% to 16.0%. On the other hand, Sudtirol's crushing 6-1 defeat at the hands of Spezia saw their playoff hopes dim, with probabilities dropping to a mere 2.3%. Despite the heavy loss, Spezia managed to slightly alleviate their relegation worries, with their relegation probability decreasing to 73.2% while their chances of reaching the playout increased to 22.8%.

Elsewhere, Juve Stabia and Catanzaro played out a 1-1 draw, which was enough for Juve Stabia to almost secure their playoff position with a 99.5% probability. This leaves them in a strong position for the final rounds. Palermo's 2-0 win over Cesena kept their playoff hopes robust, though they remain outside the top two automatic promotion spots.

As the season approaches its climax, all eyes will be on Venezia as they aim to maintain their lead, while Frosinone and Monza are locked in a tight battle for the second automatic promotion spot. The relegation battle is equally fierce, with Bari, Spezia, and Reggiana fighting to escape the drop. With just three rounds remaining, every point will be crucial in determining the final standings.

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