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Serie B 25/26·2026-04-24

Monza Surge to 69% Promotion Probability

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Monza Surge to 69% Promotion Probability

In a dramatic turn of events in Serie B, Monza's narrow 1-0 victory over Modena has propelled them closer to promotion, with their chances of moving up to the top flight surging by 24.7% to a strong 68.9%. This crucial win, combined with Frosinone's slip in the promotion race, has also seen Monza's odds of claiming the league title climb to 21.4%. With just two rounds remaining, Monza sits in second place, level on points with leaders Venezia, though with an inferior goal difference.

Meanwhile, Avellino pulled off a convincing 2-0 triumph over Bari, a result that has boosted their prospects of reaching the playoffs. Avellino's playoff probability has jumped by 18.3% to 35.1%, marking a remarkable three-round trend that saw their chances increase by 30.6% overall. This victory has injected new life into their season, as they now vie for a spot in the postseason competition.

On the other hand, Bari's loss has plunged them deeper into trouble, with their relegation probability soaring to 81.1% following a 19.5% increase within a single round. The defeat has also decreased their playout chances slightly to 17.7%, leaving them perilously close to dropping out of Serie B. As they languish in the 17th spot, Bari faces a daunting challenge to secure their place in the league.

As the season reaches its climax, all eyes will be on the top and bottom of the table. Monza will look to maintain their momentum and possibly challenge Venezia for the title, while Bari fights to stave off relegation in the upcoming fixtures.

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