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Serie B 25/26·2026-05-01

Frosinone Surge to 100% Promotion Probability

By Lorena Laís Mota · · Round-up

Frosinone Surge to 100% Promotion Probability

In a decisive round of Serie B action, Venezia and Frosinone have both secured their promotion, leaving Monza to focus solely on the playoff path. Venezia's thrilling 2-2 draw with Spezia was enough to guarantee their step up, as their promotion probability surged to an almost certain 99.9%. Frosinone, meanwhile, clinched a crucial 1-0 victory over Juve Stabia, pushing their promotion chances to the same level.

For Monza, the recent 3-2 defeat to Mantova spelled the end of their direct promotion hopes, now completely out of reach. However, their playoff probability has shot up to a near-absolute 99.9%, offering a different path to Serie A. The defeat saw a significant drop in Monza's standings, but their playoff prospects remain bright.

At the other end of the spectrum, Bari's 2-0 win over Virtus Entella provided a reprieve, drastically reducing their relegation chances to just 25.9%. However, their playout likelihood has increased significantly, now standing at 74.1%, indicating a tense end to the campaign.

As we move into the final round, all eyes will be on the playoff battles and the intense relegation skirmishes. Monza will aim to solidify their playoff position, while teams like Bari and Pescara fight to escape the drop. With promotion secured for the top two, the remaining action promises to be a thrilling conclusion to the Serie B season.

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Frosinone Surge to 100% Promotion Probability | Serie B 25/26 May 2026 Analysis | CupChances