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Serie B 26/27·2026-10-11·Round 6

Mantova and Modena Gain Ground in Promotion Race

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Mantova and Modena Gain Ground in Promotion Race

Mantova's championship probabilities have shifted significantly following their 3-1 victory over Catanzaro. Their chances of promotion have risen from 22.3% to 27.4%, reflecting their strong start to the season, currently placing them second in the standings with 14 points. Catanzaro, however, faces increased relegation risk, with their probability of relegation climbing from 26.2% to 35.3%.

Modena also sees positive developments in their promotion prospects following a 3-2 win against Hellas Verona. Their probability of promotion has increased from 17.8% to 22.0%. This victory consolidates their position in third place in the league standings, with 13 points, just behind Mantova. Hellas Verona, on the other hand, experiences a decline, with their relegation probability rising to 15.1% from 10.2%.

Carrarese managed to secure a 2-0 win over Padova, leading to a decreased relegation probability from 36.7% to 28.5%. This victory, however, does not significantly alter their position in the standings, where they remain at 18th place with only 4 points. Padova's relegation probability has increased to 16.4% from 11.0%, indicating a challenging path ahead this season.

Looking ahead, the next rounds will be crucial for Mantova and Modena as they seek to solidify their promotion chances, while Catanzaro and Hellas Verona will need to strategize to improve their standing and avoid the threat of relegation.

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