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Serie B 26/27·2026-10-24·Round 8

Benevento and Ascoli Surge in Championship Race

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Benevento and Ascoli Surge in Championship Race

Benevento's championship aspirations have received a boost, with their probability of winning the league increasing from 4.9% to 6.6% following a decisive 3-0 victory over Arezzo. This result also significantly decreased their relegation risk from 7.1% to 4.0%. Concurrently, Benevento's playoff chances have risen from 38.7% to 44.6%, positioning them as strong contenders in the promotion race.

Ascoli's 6-1 triumph over Catanzaro has propelled them into the promotion spotlight, with their probability of promotion climbing from 13.3% to 19.1%. This win also reduced their relegation risk from 5.5% to 2.8%. The significant victory allowed Ascoli to rise in the standings from sixth to fourth place, showcasing their upward trajectory in the league.

Meanwhile, Padova's narrow 1-0 win against Avellino has improved their promotion prospects from 3.5% to 5.0% and elevated their playoff probability from 22.8% to 28.9%. This victory also diminished their relegation risk from 20.3% to 13.1%, reflecting a positive shift in their campaign.

On the other hand, Cesena's heavy 3-0 defeat to Modena has negatively impacted their playoff chances, which have dropped from 26.8% to 21.0%. The loss also contributed to their fall in the standings from 12th to 16th place. As the competition progresses, the next rounds will be pivotal for teams like Benevento, Ascoli, and Padova, who are gaining momentum, while others like Cesena must regroup to avoid further setbacks.

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