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Serie B 26/27·2026-11-01·Round 10

Palermo's Promotion Probability Surges After Victory

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Palermo's Promotion Probability Surges After Victory

Palermo's probability of promotion has surged significantly after their 3-1 victory over Vicenza, moving from 55.8% to 64.8%. This increase was accompanied by an 8.9% rise in their chances of winning the league, now standing at 46.2%. The win also cements Palermo's position at the top of the standings with 26 points, maintaining an unbeaten record over ten matches. As Palermo's probability of reaching the playoffs dropped by 5.6% to 30.7%, it's clear their sights are set on direct promotion, a sentiment echoed by their fans and the club's performance on the pitch.

Hellas Verona's 3-0 win against Carrarese has bolstered their playoff chances, which rose by 8.1% to 42.0%. This victory propelled them up the table, moving from ninth to fifth place. Meanwhile, Carrarese's defeat has increased their relegation risk by 4.6%, now at 22.1%, and their playoff hopes diminished by 5.1%, currently at 19.2%. Avellino's 2-0 win over Pisa also played a significant role in their playoff probability, which climbed to 41.5% from 33.5%, showcasing a marked improvement in their campaign.

Pisa's position weakened after their loss, with their chances of winning the league dropping from 5.7% to 3.1%, and their relegation risk slightly increasing to 5.7%. Their rank slipped from fifth to eighth, underlining their recent struggle. Vicenza's relegation probability also saw a notable increase of 5.5% following their defeat, now at 27.5%, indicating a need for immediate improvements to avoid further danger.

As the league progresses, the focus will be on Palermo's ability to maintain their strong form and secure promotion. Teams like Hellas Verona and Avellino will aim to capitalize on their upward momentum, while Pisa and Carrarese must address their vulnerabilities to avert potential setbacks. With 28 matches remaining, the dynamics of the Serie B table promise further shifts in probabilities and standings.

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