Skip to main content
Serie B 26/27·2026-11-07·Round 11

Cremonese Surges as Arezzo Falters in Serie B

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Cremonese Surges as Arezzo Falters in Serie B

Cremonese has entered the Serie B promotion race, with their probability increasing from 3.7% to 5.7%. This positive momentum is mirrored by a 13.2% increase in their playoff chances, now at 40.5%. Their rise in the standings from 11th to 9th reflects this upward trajectory. Meanwhile, Arezzo's promotion hopes have dwindled, dropping from 2.6% to 0.9%, and their relegation probability has surged by 22.5% to 42.0%, illustrating a significant downturn.

Hellas Verona and Pisa have both seen improvements in their outlook. Hellas Verona's risk of relegation has decreased from 5.6% to 3.1%, and their playoff chances have risen by 10.0% to 51.8%. Pisa's relegation probability has similarly fallen, from 5.8% to 3.3%, and their playoff likelihood has increased by 9.2%, now standing at 50.1%. Both teams are stabilizing their positions within the league.

Padova and Sudtirol are experiencing setbacks in their promotion pursuits. Padova's probability of promotion has decreased from 6.2% to 3.5%, while Sudtirol's chances have fallen from 6.6% to 3.9%. Mantova's winner probability also declined significantly, from 7.7% to 4.3%, as they remain in 4th place following a 0-0 draw against Hellas Verona.

As the season progresses, the shifts in probabilities highlight the competitive nature of Serie B. Teams will continue to vie for favorable positions in the upcoming matches, with Palermo remaining the team to beat, boasting a 56.3% chance of winning the league.

Live probability analysis

Go to the championship page to see the complete probability analysis with updated title, promotion and relegation chances.

⚡Check full probability analysis