Estudiantes de La Plata#14 · 9 pts advanced to the finals of the Copa Libertadores after a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Flamengo#2 · 13 pts. The second leg of the semifinals concluded in a 0–0 draw after extra time, replicating the scoreline of the first leg and leading to penalties. Estudiantes#14 · 9 pts emerged victorious with a 3–2 win in the shootout, eliminating Flamengo#2 · 13 pts from the competition.
This result marks a significant shift in championship probabilities. Estudiantes#14 · 9 pts' probability of reaching the finals jumped from 43.8% to a definitive 100%, while their chances of winning the tournament increased substantially from 24% to 54.9%. Conversely, Flamengo#2 · 13 pts's journey in the tournament ends as their probability of reaching the finals and winning the championship both drop to 0%.
The elimination of Flamengo#2 · 13 pts, who held a 56.2% chance of reaching the finals before the match, marks a significant upset. Estudiantes#14 · 9 pts' advance underscores their resilience and strategic prowess in high-stakes scenarios. All eyes will now be on Estudiantes#14 · 9 pts as they prepare for the final, where they will aim to capitalize on their current momentum and high winning probability.