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Copa Sul-Americana 2026·2026-10-21·Round 6

Atlético-MG Advances Despite Defeat in Second Leg

By Alberto Ibarra · · Match Report

Atlético-MG Advances Despite Defeat in Second Leg

Atlético-MG has advanced to the final of the Copa Sul-Americana 2026, despite a 2-0 defeat to Montevideo City Torque in the second leg of their semifinal tie. The aggregate score of 3-2 in favor of Atlético-MG secured their progression, as they had built a commanding 3-0 lead in the first leg. Montevideo City Torque, despite their victory in the second leg, has been mathematically eliminated from the tournament, with their probability of reaching the final dropping from 3.6% to 0.0%.

Atlético-MG's probability of reaching the final has increased from 96.4% to 100.0%, confirming their spot in the decisive match. However, their chances to win the tournament have slightly decreased from 39.3% to 37.4%. Boca Juniors, who also advanced to the final after defeating Vasco on aggregate, have seen a significant increase in their championship probability, now standing at 62.6%. Boca Juniors' rise in winning probability over the past two rounds is notable, moving from 10.5% to 62.6%, indicating a strong position entering the final.

The next focus will be the Copa Sul-Americana final, where Atlético-MG will face Boca Juniors. The competition between these two teams promises to be intense, as they vie for the championship title.

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