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Championship 25/26·2026-04-22

Ipswich Town Surge to 72% Promotion Probability

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Ipswich Town Surge to 72% Promotion Probability

In a thrilling penultimate round of the Championship, Ipswich Town has significantly bolstered its promotion chances following a crucial 2-1 victory over Charlton Athletic. This win has propelled Ipswich's promotion probability from 49.8% to a commanding 72.0%, while their playoff chances have dipped to 28.0%. Ipswich now sits in second place with 79 points, level with Millwall but ahead on goal difference, as they seek automatic promotion to the Premier League.

Meanwhile, Oxford United’s fate has been grimly sealed as they are now virtually assured of relegation with a staggering 99.9% probability. Their recent form has seen them tumble down the standings, unable to escape the clutches of the drop zone. Blackburn Rovers, on the other hand, have managed to extricate themselves from the relegation battle entirely after an impressive 3-1 victory over Sheffield United, which completely eliminated their relegation risk.

Elsewhere, Southampton's hopes of automatic promotion have dwindled significantly, now standing at just 3.7% after recent results. However, their chances of making the playoffs remain strong at 96.3%. Middlesbrough has also seen a slight uptick in their playoff probability, now at 98.3%, following a narrow 1-0 win over a struggling Sheffield Wednesday, who continue to languish at the bottom of the table with a mere three points after point deductions.

As we head into the final round, all eyes will be on Ipswich Town and Millwall as they vie for the second automatic promotion spot. The playoffs picture is almost set but could still see some last-minute drama. The relegation battle may be all but decided, but the fight for promotion promises a nail-biting finish to the season.

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