Leeds United
Leeds United Relegation Chances 2026 — 2.1%
Premier League 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #15 · 34 MP
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Leeds United are 15th in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 2.1% chance of relegation — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Leeds United have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Leeds United's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-11-01
- Champions League: 0.0%Since 2025-12-21
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-02-07
- Relegation: 2.1%
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% | 2 - 2 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2026-04-18 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 3 - 0 |  Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% |
| 2026-04-13 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.8%Europa League: 6.2% | 1 - 2 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2026-03-21 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 0 - 0 |  Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% |
| 2026-03-15 | Crystal Palace#13 | 0 - 0 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2026-03-03 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 0 - 1 |  Sunderland#12 |
| 2026-02-28 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 0 - 1 |  Manchester City#2Winner: 28.4%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-02-21 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.7%Europa League: 49.2% | 1 - 1 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2026-02-10 | Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.4% | 2 - 2 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2026-02-06 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 3 - 1 |  Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3% |
| 2026-01-31 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 0 - 4 |  Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% |
| 2026-01-26 | Everton#11 | 1 - 1 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2026-01-17 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 1 - 0 |  Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1% |
| 2026-01-07 | Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% | 4 - 3 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2026-01-04 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 1 - 1 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 93.8%Europa League: 6.2% |
| 2026-01-01 | Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.3%Europa League: 41.4% | 0 - 0 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-12-28 | Sunderland#12 | 1 - 1 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-12-20 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 4 - 1 | Crystal Palace#13 |
| 2025-12-14 | Brentford#9Europa League: 0.2% | 1 - 1 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-12-06 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 3 - 3 | Liverpool#4Champions League: 57.3%Europa League: 41.4% |
| 2025-12-03 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 3 - 1 | Chelsea#8Europa League: 0.4% |
| 2025-11-29 | Manchester City#2Winner: 28.4%Champions League: 99.9% | 3 - 2 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-11-23 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 1 - 2 | Aston Villa#5Champions League: 48.7%Europa League: 49.2% |
| 2025-11-09 | Nottingham Forest#16Relegation: 2.3% | 3 - 1 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-11-01 | Brighton#6Champions League: 0.1%Europa League: 2.0% | 3 - 0 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-10-24 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 2 - 1 |  West Ham#17Relegation: 31.7% |
| 2025-10-18 | Burnley#19Relegation: 99.9% | 2 - 0 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-10-04 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 1 - 2 |  Tottenham#18Relegation: 63.9% |
| 2025-09-27 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 2 - 2 | Bournemouth#7Europa League: 0.4% |
| 2025-09-20 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 99.9% | 1 - 3 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-09-13 | Fulham#10Europa League: 0.1% | 1 - 0 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-08-30 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 0 - 0 | Newcastle#14Relegation: 0.1% |
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal#1Winner: 71.6%Champions League: 99.9% | 5 - 0 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% |
| 2025-08-18 | Leeds United#15Relegation: 2.1% | 1 - 0 | Everton#11 |