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Roma

Roma Europe League Groups Chances

Serie A 26/27

12.9%
Winner
33.7%
Champions League Groups
14.9%
Europe League Groups
5.7%
Conference League Qualifying
2.0%
Relegation

Roma are an outside contender for Europa League qualification, with a 14.9% probability.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner12.9%
Champions League Groups33.7%
Europe League Groups14.9%
Conference League Qualifying5.7%
Relegation2.0%

Roma are currently 1st in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (4W 1D 0L, 13 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 14.9%, Roma are currently a outside contender for Europa League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Roma's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Roma's probability of Europa League qualification has climbed from 13.9% to 14.9%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Roma achieves Europa League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Serie A 26/27 — Europe League Groups odds for every team

Inter15.1%
Lazio14.6%
Cagliari15.0%
Milan14.4%
Juventus14.5%
Frosinone14.7%
Como14.3%
Napoli11.3%
Sassuolo11.4%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →

View full Roma stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.