FIFA World Cup 2026 / Group D
Group D — FIFA World Cup 2026
Peñarol · Nacional · Libertad · Cerro Porteño
Group D is one of twelve four-team groups at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The top two finishers in each group — plus the eight best third-placed teams overall — advance to the knockout rounds. Below are live standings, advancement odds, and title chances for every team in Group D, updated every 10 minutes by our simulation engine.
Group D Standings
| # | Team | W | GD | P | Advance % | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cerro Porteño | 4 | +4 | 13 | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 2 |  Nacional | 2 | -2 | 8 | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 3 |  Peñarol | 0 | -4 | 3 | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 4 |  Libertad | 0 | -9 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.00% |
Top 2 advance to knockout roundMay advance as best third-place team
Group D Teams
All Groups
Probabilities are based on our supercomputer's Monte Carlo simulations, updated live every 10 minutes during every match. The Advance % shows the probability of reaching the Round of 32. Win % shows the probability of winning the tournament outright.