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Swansea City

Swansea City Promotion Chances

Championship 26/27

13.9%
Winner
24.3%
↓ -0.1% since last round
Promotion
29.2%
Playoff
1.7%
Relegation

Swansea City remain in realistic contention for promotion at 24.3%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 8Last updated: 35 minutes ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner13.9%
Promotion24.3%
Playoff29.2%
Relegation1.7%

Swansea City are currently 1st in the Championship 26/27 table with 8 matches played (5W 2D 1L, 17 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 24.3%, Swansea City are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Swansea City's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Swansea City achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Championship 26/27 — Promotion odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Championship 26/27 table →

View full Swansea City stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.