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Union Berlin

Union Berlin Relegation Chances

Bundesliga 26/27

0.8%
Winner
5.9%
Champions League
2.5%
Europa League
2.9%
Conference League
16.0%
↑ +0.5% since last round
Relegation

Union Berlin are an outside contender for relegation, with a 16.0% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 4Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner0.8%
Champions League5.9%
Europa League2.5%
Conference League2.9%
Relegation16.0%

Union Berlin are currently 17th in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 4 matches played (0W 1D 3L, 1 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 16%, Union Berlin are currently a outside contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Union Berlin's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Union Berlin's probability of relegation has climbed from 12.1% to 16%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Union Berlin achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →

View full Union Berlin stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.