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Uruguay Knockout Chances 2026 — 90.9%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 8 of 94 · Rank #14 · 0 MP

How far can Uruguay go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Uruguay's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 14, 2026

Uruguay FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
1.9%
Winner
9.1%
Group Stage Exit
#14
Position
Uruguay are the clear favourites for Knockout at 90.9%, currently ranked 14th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 1.9%
  • Final: 4.1%
  • Semifinals: 10.0%
  • Quarterfinals: 21.4%
  • Round of 16: 50.6%
  • Knockout: 90.9%
  • Group Stage Exit: 9.1%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Mexico Round of 16 ChancesSpain Round of 16 ChancesPortugal Round of 16 ChancesSwitzerland Round of 16 ChancesCroatia Round of 16 ChancesColombia Round of 16 ChancesSenegal Round of 16 ChancesMorocco Knockout ChancesSweden Knockout ChancesEcuador Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Saudi Arabia#35Winner: 0.2%Final: 0.6%Semifinals: 2.2%Quarterfinals: 6.8%Round of 16: 21.8%Knockout: 67.8%Group Stage Exit: 32.2%10:00 PMUruguay#14Winner: 1.9%Final: 4.1%Semifinals: 10.0%Quarterfinals: 21.4%Round of 16: 50.6%Knockout: 90.9%Group Stage Exit: 9.1%
Uruguay#14Winner: 1.9%Final: 4.1%Semifinals: 10.0%Quarterfinals: 21.4%Round of 16: 50.6%Knockout: 90.9%Group Stage Exit: 9.1%10:00 PMCape Verde#45Semifinals: 0.2%Quarterfinals: 0.8%Round of 16: 3.5%Knockout: 21.0%Group Stage Exit: 79.0%
Uruguay#14Winner: 1.9%Final: 4.1%Semifinals: 10.0%Quarterfinals: 21.4%Round of 16: 50.6%Knockout: 90.9%Group Stage Exit: 9.1%12:00 AMSpain#10Winner: 3.8%Final: 6.8%Semifinals: 14.2%Quarterfinals: 28.1%Round of 16: 59.8%Knockout: 94.4%Group Stage Exit: 5.6%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway