América-MG Relegation Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
América-MG are the clear favourite for relegation with a 98.5% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 98.5% |
América-MG are currently 19th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (2W 5D 15L, 11 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 98.5%, América-MG are currently a strong contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See América-MG's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, América-MG's probability of relegation has climbed from 97.2% to 98.5%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often América-MG achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Relegation odds for every team
| Criciúma | 0.0% |
| Juventude | 0.0% |
| Vila Nova | 0.1% |
| Fortaleza | 0.3% |
| Operário-PR | 0.5% |
| Sport | 0.7% |
| Novorizontino | 1.0% |
| Athletic Club | 1.3% |
| CRB | 1.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.