Arsenal Quarterfinals Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Arsenal are currently 5th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 58.7%, Arsenal are currently a strong contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Arsenal's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Arsenal's probability of reaching the Quarterfinals has climbed from 51.3% to 58.7%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Arsenal achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Quarterfinals odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →