
Arsenal Final Chances
Champions League 2026/27
Arsenal are an outside contender for reaching the Final, with a 17.0% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Champion | 7.9% |
| Final | 17.0% |
| Semifinals | 33.0% |
| Quarterfinals | 58.7% |
| Round of 16 | 87.9% |
| Playoff Spot | 97.2% |
| Eliminated | 2.8% |
Arsenal are currently 5th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 17%, Arsenal are currently a outside contender for reaching the Final. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Arsenal's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Arsenal's probability of reaching the Final has climbed from 15.2% to 17%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Arsenal achieves reaching the Final across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Final odds for every team
| Bayern München | 40.1% |
| Barcelona | 31.5% |
| Inter | 29.8% |
| Manchester City | 23.0% |
| Manchester United | 9.5% |
| Real Madrid | 8.2% |
| Roma | 7.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 3.6% |
| Napoli | 3.3% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.