Aston Villa Final Chances
Champions League 2026/27
Aston Villa face long odds for reaching the Final, with only a 3.5% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
Full Probability Breakdown
| Champion | 1.0% |
| Final | 3.5% |
| Semifinals | 10.5% |
| Quarterfinals | 29.3% |
| Round of 16 | 71.8% |
| Playoff Spot | 99.0% |
| Eliminated | 1.0% |
Aston Villa are currently 12th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 9 pts).
Probability History
What This Means
At 3.5%, Aston Villa are currently a long shot for reaching the Final. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Aston Villa's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 27 rounds, Aston Villa's probability of reaching the Final has dropped from 4.3% to 3.5%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures with a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference and recent form. The percentage shown is how often Aston Villa achieves reaching the Final across all those simulated seasons, and it updates automatically.
Champions League 2026/27: Final odds for every team
| Bayern München | 31.0% |
| Inter | 27.1% |
| Barcelona | 28.3% |
| Real Madrid | 21.7% |
| Arsenal | 16.4% |
| Como | 11.3% |
| Manchester City | 10.9% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 11.5% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 7.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.