Aston Villa Semifinals Chances
Champions League 2026/27
Aston Villa are an outside contender for reaching the Semifinals, with a 10.5% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
Full Probability Breakdown
| Champion | 1.0% |
| Final | 3.5% |
| Semifinals | 10.5% |
| Quarterfinals | 29.3% |
| Round of 16 | 71.8% |
| Playoff Spot | 99.0% |
| Eliminated | 1.0% |
Aston Villa are currently 12th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 9 pts).
Probability History
What This Means
At 10.5%, Aston Villa are currently a outside contender for reaching the Semifinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Aston Villa's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 27 rounds, Aston Villa's probability of reaching the Semifinals has dropped from 12% to 10.5%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures with a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference and recent form. The percentage shown is how often Aston Villa achieves reaching the Semifinals across all those simulated seasons, and it updates automatically.
Champions League 2026/27: Semifinals odds for every team
| Bayern München | 48.7% |
| Inter | 41.7% |
| Barcelona | 46.3% |
| Real Madrid | 40.2% |
| Arsenal | 33.0% |
| Como | 24.0% |
| Manchester City | 23.3% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 26.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 17.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.