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Aston Villa

Aston Villa Semifinals Chances

Champions League 2026/27

0.8%
Champion
3.0%
Final
9.3%
Semifinals
25.3%
Quarterfinals
59.5%
Round of 16
86.2%
Playoff Spot
13.8%
Eliminated

Aston Villa are an outside contender for reaching the Semifinals, with a 9.3% probability.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 18Last updated: 9 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Champion0.8%
Final3.0%
Semifinals9.3%
Quarterfinals25.3%
Round of 1659.5%
Playoff Spot86.2%
Eliminated13.8%

Aston Villa are currently 12th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 9.3%, Aston Villa are currently a outside contender for reaching the Semifinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Aston Villa's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Aston Villa's probability of reaching the Semifinals has climbed from 3% to 9.3%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Aston Villa achieves reaching the Semifinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Semifinals odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →

View full Aston Villa stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.